Academy Metals Stock Performance

URGYF Stock  USD 0.17  0.00  0.00%   
Academy Metals holds a performance score of 13 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 5.98, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Academy Metals will likely underperform. Use Academy Metals jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to analyze future returns on Academy Metals.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Academy Metals are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Academy Metals reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

Academy Metals Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6.00  in Academy Metals on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  11.00  from holding Academy Metals or generate 183.33% return on investment over 90 days. Academy Metals is currently producing 7.7788% returns and takes up 47.0048% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Academy, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Academy Metals is expected to generate 61.43 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 61.43 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Academy Metals Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Academy Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.17 90 days 0.17 
about 17.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Academy Metals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.5 (This Academy Metals probability density function shows the probability of Academy Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 5.98 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Academy Metals will likely underperform. In addition to that Academy Metals has an alpha of 6.1225, implying that it can generate a 6.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Academy Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Academy Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Academy Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Academy Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1747.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1447.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.1947.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.130.23
Details

Academy Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Academy Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Academy Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Academy Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Academy Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
6.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones5.98
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Academy Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Academy Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Academy Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Academy Metals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Academy Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Academy Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Academy Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has $1.49 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
Academy Metals has accumulated 1.49 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 68.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Academy Metals has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Academy Metals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Academy Metals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Academy Metals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Academy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Academy Metals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (176.94 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Academy Metals has accumulated about 9.97 K in cash with (30.47 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Academy Metals Fundamentals Growth

Academy Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Academy Metals, and Academy Metals fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Academy Pink Sheet performance.

About Academy Metals Performance

By analyzing Academy Metals' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Academy Metals' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Academy Metals has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Academy Metals has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Academy Metals Inc., an exploration stage company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral exploration properties in Canada. Academy Metals Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. Bedford Metals operates under Gold classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Academy Metals performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Academy Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Academy Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Academy Metals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Academy Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Academy Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Academy Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has $1.49 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
Academy Metals has accumulated 1.49 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 68.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Academy Metals has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Academy Metals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Academy Metals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Academy Metals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Academy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Academy Metals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (176.94 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Academy Metals has accumulated about 9.97 K in cash with (30.47 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Evaluating Academy Metals' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Academy Metals' pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Academy Metals' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Academy Metals' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Academy Metals' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Academy Metals' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Academy Metals' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Academy Metals' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Academy Metals' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Academy Metals' pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Academy Metals' pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Academy Pink Sheet analysis

When running Academy Metals' price analysis, check to measure Academy Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Academy Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Academy Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Academy Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Academy Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Academy Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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